Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.185190 3.519183 3.880734 4.302420 4.782267 5.313076 5.947124
2025-08-10 2.696179 3.142385 3.658695 4.304849 5.098234 6.048872 7.286636
2025-08-17 2.322343 2.808904 3.398867 4.175537 5.184075 6.467643 8.254747
2025-08-24 2.080519 2.591413 3.234466 4.116605 5.316463 6.923406 9.294380
2025-08-31 1.906512 2.434243 3.119920 4.094520 5.475074 7.409978 10.419604
2025-09-07 1.813389 2.369619 3.114256 4.209106 5.822147 8.186203 12.063314
2025-09-14 1.691691 2.253181 3.023705 4.189226 5.964637 8.668828 13.314810
2025-09-21 1.581013 2.141597 2.927994 4.148217 6.064114 9.087531 14.512848
2025-09-28 1.445135 1.983574 2.752093 3.968915 5.926388 9.105365 15.017458
2025-10-05 1.382520 1.926587 2.718760 4.002792 6.127917 9.698511 16.630410
2025-10-12 1.335992 1.889427 2.711104 4.074149 6.394879 10.430255 18.617397
2025-10-19 1.292735 1.853751 2.702131 4.140784 6.657784 11.182805 20.771525
2025-10-26 1.245751 1.810708 2.680582 4.188128 6.898251 11.937320 23.102916
2025-11-02 1.196761 1.761435 2.645568 4.209389 7.093820 12.632644 25.450299
2025-11-09 1.122964 1.668392 2.533204 4.086611 7.008463 12.760046 26.528941
2025-11-16 1.068291 1.602838 2.461683 4.029713 7.041170 13.129226 28.251262
2025-11-23 1.024588 1.552584 2.412336 4.008282 7.139570 13.647005 30.448985
2025-11-30 1.007646 1.545232 2.434858 4.119895 7.513722 14.812052 34.597332
2025-12-07 0.969582 1.500410 2.389750 4.100536 7.616833 15.383598 37.270873
2025-12-14 0.930839 1.452420 2.336175 4.060598 7.672101 15.851054 39.761530
2025-12-21 0.873573 1.370159 2.217548 3.885945 7.422016 15.559160 39.918553
2025-12-28 0.851589 1.347724 2.204814 3.918947 7.628622 16.409559 43.834354
2026-01-04 0.836147 1.335827 2.210294 3.988456 7.923498 17.525840 48.942709